The Dollar rose as traders await Fed testimony
The United States Dollar paused for breath on Tuesday as traders await testimony from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. It will give traders further clues on the recent surprise shift in the central bank’s policy outlook.
The dollar had increased sharply since the Fed last week flagged sooner-than-anticipated interest rate rises.
The U.S. dollar nursed an overnight loss of nearly 0.4% against the euro and traded at about $1.1890. It increased against the Japanese yen higher to 110.42. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar index gained 0.1% at 92.078 after a loss of around 0.5% on Monday.
Risk-sensitive currencies, the Australian and New Zealand dollars, declined after Monday’s bounce from multi-month lows. The New Zealand dollar fell by 0.5% and traded at $0.7504. Meanwhile, New Zealand dipped 0.2% and settled at $0.6975.
According to Ali Jaffari, head of North American capital markets at Validus Risk Management, although the dollar index has seen a steady decline since March, a swift reversal as market positioning is set to reverse since the Fed announcement.
Moreover, the British pound declined 0.4% to $1.3873, holding on to its overnight bounce. Remarkably, investors look forward to the British economy reopening further on July 19. However, it was still above the two-month lows it hit on Monday after the Fed’s hawkish shift.
The U.S. Federal Reserve surprised some market participants last week. As we know, it signaled it would raise interest rates and start asset tapering earlier than expected. The move prompted the dollar to rise and riskier currencies to lose out.
U.S. labor market performance is likely to influence the Fed’s attitude
In the medium term, investors will be focused on the U.S. labor market. Remarkably, its performance is likely to influence the Fed’s attitude. In the nearer future, all traders are waiting for Powell’s comments which appear before Congress from 1800 GMT.
On June 21, hawkish Fed officials such as Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan and St. Louis Fed President James Bullard remarked on the risks of acting too slowly.
But New York Fed President John Williams announced it was too soon to shift policy. He announced inflation is expected to ease from about 3% this year to close to 2% in 2022 and 2023.
Federal Reserve member Loretta Mester is also due to make a speech on June 22.
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies found something of a footing after falling on Monday. The fall started after a tightening crackdown on trading and mining in China, and technical factors, whacked the asset class.
On Tuesday, Bitcoin traded at $31,337, while Ether stood at $1,861.
